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singapore, a city for 7-8 millions
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redbean



Joined: 07 Mar 2006
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Location: singapore

PostPosted: Mon Feb 17, 2020 7:47 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Covid19 - When Singapore is Code Red
The govt has just announced that it would not hastily move the country to Code Red status given the strong negative impact of Code Orange that is already hurting the country. No one would want Singapore to end up with Code Red as the consequences are grave, very grave. If you want to know what Code Red means, just look at what is happening to Wuhan and a few Chinese cities that have been locked down.

In history, locking down of cities meant that the country had abandoned everyone and everything in the city, condemned and needed to be destroyed. Some would even set fire to the city to clear all the poisonous and infectious stuff in it. The people in modern Wuhan are luckier. Though the city is locked down, medical aids and supplies of everything needed are still flowing in. China has not given up on the people in the city and is trying every way to save the people there. And the countries around the world are also scurrying to find a vaccine to treat this virus. The good news is that a solution will be found soon, and only a matter of how soon. There is no despair in Wuhan though the situation is dire. China today is big and strong enough, economically and financially able to provide for the 11m population and keep them alive and going.

What if Singapore hits Code Red? How long can we survive with most economic and social activities running to a stop, with the borders closed, no coming in or going out? How long can our reserves last? How long can the people's personal reserves last without a job, without an income? How long can the companies and businesses last unable to do their businesses? Singapore does not have a big motherland like China that could go on life as normal to provide for the 6m people under locked down. Imagine if we have the silly number of 10m people or more being locked down and waiting for food and essential items to survive.

A Code Red for Singapore would mean turning it into a ghost city with most activities confined at home, minimal economic activities going on and the streets empty, the shelves of supermarkets empty, the hawker centres, food courts, restaurants empty. Changi will not have more than a hundred visitors flying in and out daily. The only place that would be full of activities would be the hospitals.

Though the govt may still have the reserves to provide for the people for sometime, many people would run out of money in less than a month or a few months, no money to pay rent, mortgages, PUB bills, medical bills, and whatever bills.

In such a situation, Singapore would be at the mercy of the whole world, the willing countries that would be kind enough to donate to keep its people alive.

Code Red would be a nightmare for Singapore and Singaporeans and the situation makes worse with so many foreigners here needing food and shelter and financial assistance.
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redbean



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PostPosted: Tue Feb 18, 2020 8:24 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Has the Covid19 infection peaking and under control in Singapore?
The above chart shows the number of cases as on 16 Feb, a total of 75 cases positive so far. Singapore has had 5 clusters originating from foreigners from Wuhan, China, considered external sources. The clusters included the Chinese health product shop Yong Thai Hang, Seletar Aerospace Construction Site, Grace Assembly of God Church, Life Church and Mission and Grand Hyatt Hotel. These were the primary locations of first infection.

There were a few cases of untraceable source like the DBS Bank and hospital workers. When the new cases could be traced to their origins, there is some assurance that the viruses are not free floating all over the island. When new cases were confirmed and sources unknown, this would raise alarm and fear. Fortunately most of the cases could be linked to the five primary clusters or known contacts. This has gradually reduced the fear that one can be hit anywhere in the island.

The daily hit rates has been hovering around 2-5 until the sudden surge with 9 cases in a day. The previous day high was 8 cases. Luckily the next day saw a drop to 5 cases and then to 3 cases. The comforting feeling comes from no more new cases that came out of the blue.

Is the situation now under control in Singapore? Has the infection rate peaked and starting to come down? This can only be confirmed in the days ahead if new cases do not exceed 3 and could be traced to the original 5 clusters, a sign that the viruses are not running wild and in the air. And hopefully, if this is the case, the Code Orange could be scaled down to Code Yellow.

This may take a week at least for the authority to be confident that this is the case. It is easier to raise the level of risk to a higher state, but more difficult to bring it down. Yesterday was another day when new infected cases were down to 2, both traceable, one repatriated from Wuhan and the other linked to the DBS case, in a way saying generally the air is free of coronavirus except around those infected.
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redbean



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PostPosted: Thu Feb 20, 2020 8:37 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Covid19 seems well under control in Singapore
SINGAPORE: The real estate company behind the Seletar Aerospace Heights work sites linked to five cases of COVID-19 "immediately halted construction" after it was notified of the first confirmed case on Feb 9.
Boustead Projects confirmed in a media release on Tuesday (Feb 1Cool that the five Bangladeshi Work Pass holders - identified as Cases 42, 47, 52, 56 and 69 by the Ministry of Health (MOH) - are all workers under the company’s subcontractors.... CNA

WHO has praised Singapore for its effort and system in controlling the spread of Covid19 in the island. The contact tracing team and the medical workers have done an excellent job in keeping things manageable. In the above CNA report, the company Boustead, whose employees have been fought to be infected did the necessary to halt construction work in its site and to do the decontamination and cleaning work.

The Chinese health food shop Yong Thai Hang, the Grand Hyatt and the DBS case did not seem to be spreading and are looking good. The only case that is a bit worrying is the Grace Assembly of God church, it is producing the biggest cluster of infected persons, 21 in total. If this case can be contained with new cases limited and getting fewer, the situation here could be improving.

We had a day when local infection was down to 1 case, plus 1 imported case of a child that was repatriated from Wuhan. It was unfortunate that the number has gone back up to 4 yesterday, with 3 coming from the Grace Assembly church and 1 connected member of the DBS case. Today new infected cases are 3, 2 from Grace Assembly church and one from Life church.

Let's hope things would not go further down. Those under quarantine are getting lesser and doing well. Those recovered and returned home are also on the rise. Both a good sign. The first foreign case from Wuhan has fully recovered and out of hospital.

Team Singapore, keep up the good work. At the rate it is going, we could return to Yellow and then to normal life soon.
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redbean



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PostPosted: Mon Feb 24, 2020 8:42 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Covid19 - Exaggeration or underestimation of risks
At the time of writing, there were more than 70,500 confirmed cases and over 1,700 deaths globally. Yet, these numbers are a far cry from the H1N1 epidemic which saw more than 760 million cases and over 284,000 deaths between 2009 and 2010.

Even the common flu causes as many as 5 million cases of severe illnesses and half a million deaths in a typical year of seasonal outbreaks in the Northern and Southern hemispheres. The case-fatality rate of the COVID-19 appears to be about 2 per cent of all cases, and lower for cases outside of China,which is lower than that of the SARS outbreak from 2002 to 2003 of almost 10 per cent.
Compared to these numbers, the COVID-19 should not be a cause for panic. Yet, the reaction to mainstream media reporting on the virus seems disproportionate....

This heightened public concern in the case of the COVID-19 may seem baffling given its relatively low number of fatalities compared to other viruses. But risk psychologists argue that this reaction is, in fact, expected because individuals’ risk perception tends to be guided by cognitive short-cuts such as the “memorability heuristic”.... CNA

The above is from an article in the CNA on a report by researchers from the NUS-Lloyd’s Registration Foundation Institute for the Public Understanding of Risk (IPUR). It it timely to educate the public on the power of the media and the power of certain people or parties that have different agenda to hype about this Covid19 epidemic. Is the risk of the Covid19 exaggerated in this case?

By now we have reasonable data to show how serious this Covid19 is compares to H1N1 and SARS. The situation in South Korea seems out of control. Italy and Japan are two candidates, including Iran that may be the next centre of Covid19 explosion. We are lucky and well managed to contain our spread. We have two days of only 1 new case and a day of 2, excluding an imported case from Wuha. Yesterday we have 0 case.

At this point we may breath a sigh of relief that it is not that serious after all in Singapore, or it is, or could it be worse? Many may have taken for granted that the spread is being contained but forgotten that had China not locked down a few major cities, the spread could be horrendous given what we have seen earlier. The immediate locked down of Wuhan and a few Chinese cities have arrested the spread and kept a lid on this epidemic and today we may gloat that it is not that serious. What if China has not locked down its cities, how widespread would this Covid19 be? A few hundred million infected cases?

On the other hand the Americans have been crying hell and screaming about how dangerous this covid19 is and still blaming China for all sorts of stupid reasons and allegations. They took the lead to ban Chinese citizens from entering America and cancelling many flights, in a way cutting off people travelling between the two states. A few western countries like Australia quickly followed suit. Over reaction, over exaggeration? Did the Americans know something that the world did not, that this Covid19 is not just like a common cold and could be like H1N1 and spread around the world like H1N1, infecting millions of people and causing more deaths that what we are seeing today? Trump is furious for the return of infected Americans on cruise ships. Why?

With two sides of the coins in our face, have we over exaggerated or underestimated this Covid19 virus? Would the govt think that hey, this is not really a problem, can be easily handled and we can still go about increasing our population to 6.9m, to 10m, to 20m? Singapore has no fear of a virus or disease epidemic, we can control and manage them and we can have our cake and eat it too?

The initial contact of this virus were in the churches, a shop and a hotel. What if the initial contact was in a jam pack train? What would the scenario be like? How would the contact tracing effort be like to trace people from a moving train? Would the seriousness of this epidemic be underestimated and all caution thrown to the wind and the govt continues to press on with its open leg immigration policy to increase the population by another few millions? Can Singapore risk an epidemic of this nature and survive or be totally wiped out in a matter of months?

Lets hope our super talented millionaire ministers would take a step back and think carefully about such an epidemic and do not underestimate the risks involved and our survival as a congested city state of 6.9m or 10m or 20m.
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redbean



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PostPosted: Wed Feb 26, 2020 8:29 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Covid19 - temperature rising in public transportation
Taking temperature of staff entering building is now a must in many offices and buildings to act as an early detection and prevention to the spread of Covid19. Staff with a higher than normal temperature are suspects and it is best to separate them from the rest of the staff as a an added precaution. Though a bit inconvenient, this is necessary given the seriousness of the Covid19 and how easily it could spread to people around the affected person.

I would believe that all govt agencies and ministries would also be conducting this temperature check on their staff. What I think is a missing link in this preventive and precautionary measure is to take the temperature of bus and train commuters. These are the first entry points of people before they were bungled together in packed buses and trains, and if they are already infected, it would be too late to do anything subsequently.

Would it not be necessary and essential for the public transport operators to do this part of the exercise? They have many guides in the station helping passengers to get in and out of trains, a job that in many ways is not really necessary or important than to conduct temperature checks on commuters at this point in time. Or is it too troublesome and would involve too many manpower that it is better to miss this part of the exercise?

What do you think? Commuters in public transport never mind if they are sick, never mind if their temperature rising? Or since it is so burdensome, never mind lah? If there is a case and is spreading in the train or buses, ok or not?
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redbean



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PostPosted: Sat Mar 07, 2020 8:31 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Covid19 -13 new cases in one day, 5 Mar.
SINGAPORE: Singapore announced 13 new cases of COVID-19 on Friday (Mar 6), the highest daily jump since the outbreak started here.
This brings the total number of new coronavirus cases in Singapore to 130 since the first case was confirmed on Jan 23.

One more patient has recovered from COVID-19, bringing the total number of discharged cases to 82.
Out of the new cases, nine are linked to the cluster involving a private dinner function at SAFRA Jurong on Feb 15.

Seventeen cases have been linked to this cluster so far. In a briefing on Friday, the Ministry of Health's (MOH) communicable diseases director Vernon Lee pointed out that not all the cases were at the dinner.

"We are still doing investigations. Not all of the cases were at the dinner. Some were family members or had links, but they were not necessarily at the dinner. CNA

KNN, just as we thought the situation in Singapore has stabilised with 2-3 cases a day, now this looks like an explosion, 13 cases in one single day. And from the reports, these individuals are highly sociable and probably been sharing their new acquisition quite freely and more cases are going to stand up to be counted. No wonder the politicians have been heard talking about expecting more cases everyday. They must have been briefed of this SAFRA Jurong cluster now ballooning with 17 cases to its credit.

Thank God that the church clusters have quiet down and not sprouting more new cases or else we are going to be on a run. The next few days are going to be closely watched and many people would be on tenderhooks when the possibility of a bigger number is very high now.

Don't pray pray. My karaoke group made a wise decision to stop meeting until further notice. If there is another explosion of this scale or bigger, some countries may start to put Singaporeans on quarantine or ban Singaporeans from visiting them completely.
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redbean



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PostPosted: Mon Mar 09, 2020 8:32 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Covid19 -What will Singapore do next?
What will the Singapore xxxxxxxxxxxxx do next?

Lower the Code Orange to Code Yellow, remove some existing restrictions, open the floodgates to allow any Tom Dick and Harry to come to Singapore and freely distribute the corona-viruses?

Above is a comment by an anonymous blogger asking what would Singapore do next given the experience of Italy with infected cases shooting to high heavens? Now, how to answer such a question to be meaningful? I know many people are wondering if Singapore would continue with its open leg policy to let every wildlife to come in as it means money, plenty of easy money in terms of levies and fees and also to boost up a dying economy that is struggling to stay off the recession path.

Let's look at the statistics available on the Covid19 pandemic and see if they make any good sense and can help Singapore govt to work out a sensible immigration policy that could still allow it to continue to collect easy money by allowing more wildlife to come in to provide jobs for Singaporeans. Look at the below chart provided by CNA and the countries that are most affected by the Covid19 virus.


NOVEL CORONAVIRUS CASES
PLACES CONFIRMED CASES REPORTED DEATHS
China 80,695 - 3,097
South Korea 7,313 - 50
Iran 6,566 - 194
Italy 5,883 - 233
France 949 - 16
Germany 795 - 0
Cruise ship (Diamond Princess) 696 - 7
Japan 455 - 6
Spain 374 - 8
Switzerland 281 - 1
United States 213 - 19
United Kingdom 210 - 2
Belgium 200 - 0
Netherlands 188 - 1
Sweden 161 - 0
Norway 147 - 0
Singapore 138 - 0
Hong Kong 114 - 3
Austria 99 - 0
Malaysia 99 - 0
Click to see more
As of 8:19pm Mar 8, 2020




Statistically speaking, not my personal opinion, there is a clear statement from the above chart that says Covid19 is a disease of rich countries. Look, other than Malaysia and Singapore, no SE Asian country or South Asian or African country is seriously affected, did not even deserve to be in the chart. What does this mean? The virus likes rich people, likes to go to rich countries, likes to go for cruises, likes to go to churches, to casinos, and other than China, S Korea and Japan, it has a penchant for Europeans, and this is only the beginning. More and more Europeans and Americans would be visited by the virus.

What has this got to say about Singapore's open leg immigration policy? Can one use the above statistics to say that wildlife from poor SE Asia, South Asia and Africa are safe bets and can continue to come in freely, free from Covid19 virus, or at least the chances are very slim? This looks like a piece of good news for Singapore's immigration dependent economy. Can continue to do as before, no need to stop wildlife from coming in if they are from poor countries.

What do you think? My use of statistics make sense or not?

Would our politicians use the above statistics to justify the continuation of the open leg immigration policy to grow our economy?
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redbean



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PostPosted: Thu Mar 12, 2020 8:34 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Covid19 - Social distancing at least 2 metres
The authorities will have to double down on measures within Singapore, even as some basic surveillance at the borders continue, said the minister, who is the co-chair of a multi-ministry task force set up to handle the coronavirus.

“We will look at the whole range of social distancing measures,” he said at a press conference held at the National Press Centre.

The Ministry of Health announced on Tuesday that senior-centric activities by government agencies will be suspended for two weeks. Over time, the Government will have to ramp up and implement more social distancing measures, Mr Wong said.

Advertisement

READ: COVID-19: People's Association to suspend courses and activities for seniors
“We will look at a fuller range of social distancing measures we can put in place including for public events, community activities, school closures, workplace social distancing - including things like staggered hours, telecommuting - as well as religious services too. We will cover a broad spectrum and we will see what we should put in place,” Mr Wong said.

Singapore already has other social distancing measures like isolating patients, putting close contacts on quarantine and issuing Stay-Home Notices, he added. CNA

The above quotes from CNA show how serious the Singapore govt is taking this Covid19 threat to the wellbeing of Singaporeans. The latest spurt in number of new infected cases due to irresponsible social behaviour has prompted the govt to close down on many activities associated with senior citizens. The main point is to keep social mixing down to a minimum with social contacts to be kept at maybe a minimum of 2 metres apart to be safe. Big social gatherings are to be avoided.

The concept sounds very good and should be reasonably effective. The biggest loophole and unavoidable is the pack trains carrying commuters all over the islands. Many of them are less than 20 cm apart with some idiots unconsciously chose to stand very close to other commuters even if the train is not really full when they could keep a reasonable distance from other commuters. Most of these are wildlife from countries where sticking close to each other with no respect to the private space of a stranger is the norm. You can smell them whenever they are close to you in the trains.

So how to maintain the 2 metre distancing gap when the trains are carrying 1 or 2 million commuters daily? This is like putting money into a pocket with a big hole in it. Heheheh, 6.9m population or 10m or 15m population is the way to go.A serious infectious disease could wipe out the whole population within weeks.

What do you think?
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redbean



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PostPosted: Wed Mar 18, 2020 8:37 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Covid19 - Desperation can lead to recklessness. Protect the heartlanders
The lockdown of Malaysia raises the problem of Malaysian workers working in Singapore, commuting daily for decades as a natural order of things that is not natural after all. The lockdown means many businesses would not have their workers to do whatever they are supposed to do. The businesses are desperate, and the govt too is also desperate. No business means no taxes, work not done, contracts not fulfilled, jobs not done, undone, material wastage, machine downtime, redundancies etc etc all leads to losses. The companies cannot afford it, the workers too cannot afford it if they could not get to work.

Now the crisis is how to house these workers in Singapore to bypass the lockdown? Every stone would not be left unturn to find accommodation for these transient workers, could be temporary, but not sure how long. What is frightening is to allow them to invade the heartland, the sacred sanctuary of the Singaporeans, a place that they called home, a place they can feel safe and secured, whether at work or returning home to rest and to be with their families.

There have been many cases of reckless and irresponsible flat owners renting the flats to hordes of sex starved wildlife, men with a lot of hormones to release and living next doors to small Singaporean families, young families, young wives, young daughters without thinking of the safety of these female folks. Even the oldies, the retired and living alone can be quite scary with so many young wildlife, some looking so hostile and wild as their neighbours. The worse hours are working hours when the manfolks are at work. Even if they are home, the tiny weeny specky manfolks are no deterrence to these wildlife.

While everyone is desperate to find lodging for the Malaysian workers, and foreign workers, please be mindful that the safety and security of Singaporean families must not be compromised for their convenience. The HDB heartland is sacred, the safe sanctuary of average Singaporeans. Their homes must not be violated and invaded by strangers and wildlife, especially hungry sex starved men from all over the world, people whose backgrounds are unknown.

How could Singaporeans, especially young couples at work feel safe, not worried when they are not at home and their neighbours are wildlife from God knows where? How can oldies feel safe even at home when their neighbours are burly wildlife that could throw them out of the balcony or gatecrash into their homes? How would the womenfolks and young girls and children feel when being stared at by wild and aggressive men when they move to and from their homes? Why should Singaporeans be made to live in fear, with wildlife as their neighbours?

Be considerate, be mindful, be responsible to the Singaporeans in whatever actions you take, whatever policies you make for short term economic gains that may harm the Singaporeans in their homes, in the heartland.

Do not dump wildlife into the heartland.
Do not violate the homes and neighourhoods of the average Singaporeans.
Do not upset the social balance and tranquility of the heartland.
Do not endanger the safety and security of the heartlanders.
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redbean



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PostPosted: Thu Mar 19, 2020 8:40 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Can Singapore afford a 10m problem when 5m problem is threatening to tear it apart?
Yeoh Lam Keong Singapore’s preeminent economist was quoted in the Nikkei article explaining the PAP ideology as it applies to HDB pricing policy in the following terms:
“The roots of Singapore’s current problems, Yeoh believes, were planted in the 1990s, when its politics lurched rightward. In line with the prevailing neoliberal thinking, the government moved toward a more market-based approach to the pricing and ownership of HDB flats.”
What we have is a systemic failure and we need to recalibrate the balance between unbridled capitalism and the welfare state or socialism; between profits and people.
Our policy frameworks transfers control of economic factors from the private sector and individuals to the public sector creating the imbalance that need to be fixed.
The PAP Government is a prisoner of its own failed policies and unless we vote for a more compassionate Government in place instead of the PAP Government, things will get from bad to worse for the ordinary citizen.

Khush Chopra

The above is a quote from Khush Chopra's article in the TRE. I have highlighted a few points in bold for discussion here. There is a systemic failure and PAP govt is a prisoner of its own failed policies. The key factors in PAP's economic policy is growing the GDP at all cost so that more and more people can be paid in the millions with many doing sweet fuck all and do not deserve the millions being paid to them. It is not easy to justify paying someone in the private sector a million dollar, and it is very dangerous to use public money to pay millions to politicians and civil servants and people working in GLCs. What are the values and contributions of the recipients to make them deserving of a million dollar pay? There are several thousand people being paid a million or more in govt, ministries, stats boards and GLCs. This million dollar pay policy is a big burden on the tax payers, on the budget and finance of the country. The money must come from somewhere and the amount is ballooning annually with more and more million dollar recipients being created.

This leads to the dogged policy of growing the economy at all cost and when all things failed, just pump in more headcounts, more levies and taxes and consumption from foreigners. The 6.9m is only a red herring, 10m is also another red herring. The truth is that this growing the GDP at all cost means that the population must keep growing, keep blowing the balloon, it cannot be stopped or the whole economy and system of million dollar salary will collapse.

The Covid19 pandemic has exposed the vulnerability of Singapore in having a huge population. There is a big issue of food, water, the basic needs that must be provided to a huge population. We can see how treacherous things can be even with 5.6m population. If this Covid19 problem drags on for 6 months or more, we could be facing serious difficulties to keep the people fed and without jobs, especially the foreigners. All would have to be asked to go home.

For the moment we can count ourselves lucky as the foreigners are not Singapore citizens and could be asked to leave, though the problem is not so simple if they refuse to do so. We would not have the luxury of asking them to leave if they are converted to citizens when we have 6.9m, 10m or more people here.

Can Singapore afford a 10m or 6.9m problem? In a major international crisis, we are not going to get the food we need, the water we need to feed so many mouths. Yes, this is a systemic failure, failed economic policy based on unrestrained growth. No growth means the bursting of the bubble. Continue to push for growth at all cost only kick the can down the road a little further but for how long before the inevitable big bang?

Would there be a rethink on this failed economic policy? Would the PAP govt be able to extricate itself from being the prisoner of this high growth, million dollar salary formula before it is too late?

Singapore needs to seriously relook at the premises and assumption for a sustainable population without risking a total collapse in the future. There will be many problems ahead that would be far more serious than what we are seeing today, a small piece of rock without natural resources and trying to live beyond its severe physical limitations. It is like a case of going for brokes.
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PostPosted: Sun Mar 22, 2020 8:41 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Heng ah, no crooked bridge
The mad rush at the Causeway just before the lockdown of Malaysia was a pathetic sight to behold. Ordinary citizens from both sides of the Causeway scrambling to get back to Singapore for a simple reason, to work and to put food on the table. The jams, the frustration were all worth it if they could get to Singapore in time, never mind the inconvenience, never mind having to lug their luggages and whatever, never mind if they have to walk across the Causeway on foot. It was a great relief for those that made it. For those who could not, Singapore was two weeks away if nothing changes or could be longer.

Many must be very grateful that the Causeway was there to allow them to walk over when the cars and buses could not be of much help. Walking across the Causeway was much faster and convenient than be caught in the massive jam and vehicles crawling at ant speed. Many must be saying thank God they did not have to climb the long and winding crooked bridge that was supposed to replace the Causeway. The height and steep gradient, and the length of the proposed crooked bridge were obstacles that made walking an impossibility even if they wanted to. The crooked bridge if built would be a cruel joke on a time like this when people needed to just walk across the straits.

With this harrowing experience, would anyone still think the crooked bridge was a good idea and would want to revive it when another joker comes to power? Is there something to learn from this difficult experience of the people that needed to cross the straits? Singapore side has a lot to learn on what it is like in an overcrowded island with 5.6m population and whether it is a foolish idea to make this bigger. The Malaysia side would have to ponder if the idea of a crooked bridge should be history, like the idea of a 6.9m population with some crazies saying 10m or 20m also can.

What do you think? Should the people from both sides of the Causeway heave a sigh of big relief that this Covid19 pandemic is a valuable lesson for the megalomaniacs not to push their luck too far. Things can get worse than this.
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PostPosted: Sun Mar 29, 2020 8:31 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Covid19 - Is Singapore heading for an exponential increase in new infection?
Singapore has been hailed as a model country in the handling of this Covid19 pandemic. About a month ago I wrote a piece saying that the situation here was looking like plateauing with 1-3 cases daily. When the cases hit above 10, it was still looking comfortable. Then we had a couple of days when new cases hit new highs of 47. Our consolation was that many were imported cases, of returned Singaporeans, PRs and residents.

Wednesday's 73 new cases started to ring a bell. Thursday there were 52 cases with 14 cases unlinked. Friday there were 49 cases with 9 cases unlinked. Things are not looking good now. The unlinked cases, not imported, are worrisome as the virus could be free in the air. Though still a lot of the new cases were imported, about half were local cases with two new clusters in Fengshan Sparkletot, a play school and a British International School. Friday we are witnessing another new cluster in Singpost Centre. The CNA chart below is looking frightening. It is looking like going exponential in our small ways.

As of today things seems to be going on as per normal as people going about their lives without much inhibitions. But the ministers are preparing the people for things to get worse, asking Singaporeans to expect more infected cases going forward. Singapore is still lucky as the infected cases are found in all places except the MRT trains. Cannot imagine what it would be like if a few infected people took the train during peak hours. All contact tracing will be futile with unknown commuters moving in and out of a moving train and getting infected.

The only solution as was brooded in the UK, to let everyone get infected and those who are weak would have to go. And to make this happen faster, lets bring in more foreigners, take the opportunity to increase the population to 6.9m or more and the net result is that we will still have population growth and GDP growth. I know this sounds silly and scary. Would anyone really dare to think this way? The Brits backed out of this idiotic thought of letting the infected die by letting the virus infected everyone to get community immunity.

Pray we don't go exponential as the graph is pointing. We need a trigger, a special event or incident to make this a reality sooner than expected. The GE, if called now, could be just the event and if suay suay there is a big spike a few days after, all fingers would be pointing to you know who.

PS. Saturday there were 70 new cases with 14 unlinked and 41 imported. Total infected is 802.
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what i posted is just my personal view. feel free to disagree.
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